top
From the Open-Publishing Calendar
From the Open-Publishing Newswire
Indybay Feature
Thu Oct 12 2006 (Updated 10/16/06)
655,000 Iraqis Killed Since US Invasion, Majority In This Past Year
Thu Oct 12 2006 (Updated 10/16/06)
Between 420,000 and 790,000 Iraqis Killed Since US Invasion
A Johns Hopkins study published in UK Journal The Lancet estimates that 655,000 more Iraqis have died as a result of war and political violence since March, 2003 than would have died if mortality rates had remained the same as during 2002. The number was calculated using a random sampling of households throughout Iraq in a similar fashion to what is done after natural disasters. While the number of additional deaths in the first year after the war was likely over 100,000 a significant finding of the study was that the death rate in the past year is more than twice what it was in the first year of occupation and over half the total additional deaths are from this past year alone.

Links to copies of the study in PDF format: 1 | 2

The study found that between January 2002 and March 2003 (before the US invasion), the mortality rate in Iraq was 5.5 per thousand per year (with a 95% probablity that the true number was between 4.3 and 7.1) from all causes, with almost none of this reported as being due to violence.

Between March 2003 and April 2004, the mortality rate was 7.5 deaths per thousand people per year (with a 95% probablity that the true number was between 5.8 and 9.7), with approximately 4.5 deaths per thousand per year resulting from violence.

Between March 2004 and April 2005, the mortality rate was 10.9 deaths per thousand per year (with a 95% probablity that the true number was between 8.1 and 14.0), with approximately 6.6 deaths per thousand per year resulting from violence.

Between March 2005 and April 2006, the mortality rate was 19.8 deaths per thousand per year (with a 95% probablity that the true number was between 14.6 and 26.7), with approximately 12.0 deaths per thousand per year resulting from violence.

For the total post war period this comes out to 13.2 deaths per thousand Iraqis per year with approximately 7.2 deaths per thousand per year comming from violence. Applying this to the Iraqi population one comes up with an estimated 655,000 (with a 95% probablity that the true number was between 420,000 and 790,000 ) Iraqis who have died as a result of violence after the US invasion compared to prewar values.

While the estimated mortality in the post war years from violence was 12 per thousand, this number wasn't constant across the whole of Iraq. The areas which have averaged greater than 10 deaths per thousand per year by violence in the post-war years were only the Sunni governorates, with estimated death rates by violence below 2 per thousand per year in some Shia and Kurdish governorates. Across all of Iraq, 56% of the violent deaths were due to gunshots, 13% car bombs, 14% other explosives and 13% airstrikes.

Iraq the country of death and terror | The numbers do add up | Why is the New York Times silent on massive Iraq death toll? | Can We Call It Genocide Now? | 655,000: The toll of war in Iraq | Democracy Now: Co-Author of Medical Study Estimating 650,000 Iraqi Deaths Defends Research | WSWS: New study says US war has killed 655,000 Iraqis | Bush denies Iraq's Death Toll Has Reached 655,000 | Juan Cole: 655,000 Dead in Iraq since Bush Invasion

100 Tortured Each Day in Iraq Situation Worse than Under Saddam | Police find 60 bodies in Baghdad | Palestinian Refugees Targeted With Death Threats in Iraq | Iraq Sunni leader's brother shot | Iraq's Education System Collapses | 62 Dead, Dozens Wounded as Rice Visits | 113 Bodies Found | Sadrists Accuse Sunni Politicians of Ties to Terror, 86 Dead in Political Violence | As Kurd and Arab clashes surge, a third war is looming in Iraq | Over 800 attacks every week in Iraq | Iraq 'failing to tackle death squads' | Torture and civilian deaths reach record levels in Iraq | Iraq torture 'worse after Saddam' | Civilian Torture, Killing Surge in Iraq: UN
12/07/16 Community Memorial for Richard Perkins Jr. on the 1-Year Anniversary of His Murder by OPD Front Page | Police State and Prisons | Racial Justice | East Bay12/03/16 Western States Petroleum Association: The Biggest Lobby Group You've Never Heard Of Front Page | Environment & Forest Defense | Central Valley | California | U.S. | Government & Elections | Santa Cruz Indymedia12/01/16 Woman Used As Salami Tray at Altai Brands Event in Las Vegas Front Page | Drug War | Womyn | California | U.S. | Santa Cruz Indymedia11/28/16 Collective Seeks to Open Social Justice Coffee Co-Op in Oakland's Fruitvale District Front Page | Global Justice and Anti-Capitalism | East Bay11/27/16 Attendance at Freedom Sleepers City Hall Sleepouts Remains High After 16 Months Front Page | Police State and Prisons | Health, Housing, and Public Services | Government & Elections | Santa Cruz Indymedia11/27/16 National Lawyers Guild Confronts Oakland Police Brutality During Early Anti-Trump Protests Front Page | Police State and Prisons | East Bay | Government & Elections11/27/16 Nationwide Solidarity as Police Escalate Violence Against Water Protectors Front Page | Police State and Prisons | Environment & Forest Defense | Racial Justice | Global Justice and Anti-Capitalism | Central Valley | San Francisco | East Bay | Peninsula | U.S. | Government & Elections | Santa Cruz Indymedia11/21/16 Memorial Fund Established for Luke Smith After Sheriff's Deputies Kill Him Front Page | Police State and Prisons | Santa Cruz Indymedia11/20/16 Center for Convivial Research and Autonomy Documents BART Police Violence Front Page | Police State and Prisons | Racial Justice | San Francisco | East Bay | California11/19/16 Renters Win in Three Cities, But Measures in Burlingame, San Mateo and Alameda Do Not Pass Front Page | Health, Housing, and Public Services | South Bay | East Bay | Peninsula | California | Government & Elections11/19/16 SCPD Officer and Wife Fuel Take Back Santa Cruz Witch-Hunt on Social Media Police State and Prisons | Indymedia | Santa Cruz Indymedia
Related Categories: Iraq | International | Anti-War | Front Page
Mosul offensive stirs a cauldron of conflicts WSWS Saturday Oct 22nd 3:31 AM
Class War 03/2016: IRAQ 1991 – Class war and bourgeois containment CLASS WAR (2 comments) Tuesday May 17th 8:49 AM
‘I Escaped Isis Rapists, But Was Forced To Leave My Baby Behind’ Iraq Solidarity News (Al-Thawra) Thursday Mar 17th 2:07 AM
Eric See of Peace Action West talks on 'Who's who in Iraq and Syria' Unitarian Universalists of San Mateo Wednesday Feb 10th 12:22 AM
Iraq risks losing generation due to lack of schools, healthcare Iraq Solidarity News (Al-Thawra) Sunday Jan 3rd 3:28 AM
Support is flooding in for an Assyrian church's reopening in Baghdad Iraq Solidarity News (Al-Thawra) Friday Nov 6th 10:19 AM
Iraq: Where Are We, and Where Are We Going? Stephen McNeil Saturday Mar 21st 12:46 AM
More News...