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Fri May 14 2004Battles in Najaf and Karbala Could Spark A Shi'ite Civil War
Fri May 14 2004najaf
5/14/2004: On May 6th, the US began its first major assault on Shi'ite insurgents. Troops entered Diwaniya and Karbala and attacking strongholds of Sadr's Mehdi militia. Also on the 6th, the US appointed Adnan al-Dhurfi as the governor for the city of Najaf, moving tanks into the city to "secure" the governor's offices. Sadr's initial response was in Basra where hundreds of militia men took over portions of the city, but within a day the British claimed to have quelled the revolt. On Friday May 7th, Sadr's Shi'ite supporters were invited to pray at Sunni mosques in Baghdad in a show of unity against the US occupation. Sadr himself spoke at a mosque in Kufa demanding that Bush face trial for the abuse of Iraqi prisoners at Abu Ghraib. The US assault on Karbala continued into the weekend. On Saturday May 8th, the US attacked the Sadr City neighborhood in Baghdad and destroyed offices belonging to Sadr's supporters. While dozens were killed in the US raid, Iraqis stood strong in the face of the US assault, as Baghdad residents quickly gathered to help rebuild the buildings destroyed by the US. Unrest continued throughout the week in Najaf and Karbala. Insurgents also blasted an oil pipeline, slashing Iraq's daily oil exports by about 25 per cent. On Thursday May 13th, fighting in Karbala intensified with battles taking place near the Imam Abbas and Imam Hussein shrines. On Friday May14th, US tanks attacked Sadr militia members in the cemetary in Najaf. As US tanks moved in, fire from the tanks damaged the dome of the Shrine of Ali, the most sacred Shi'ite holy site.
"Sadr and SCIRI are the two main Shia parties controlling the southern region of Iraq now, but the party and militias of Sadr are much more popular" On May 7th, "the SCIRI spokesman indirectly announced the beginning of the new Shia-Shia conflict. From the SCIRI position, I think they find themselves committed to criticizing any anti-occupation movement, because they are the main player in the GC[Governing Council]". The most popular religious leader in Iraq, Sistani has been quiet during the latest fighting and hasn't even made a statement about the pictures of torture and humiliation in US prison camps. The latest fighting in Najaf and the damage done to Shi'ite holy sites will guarantee some sort of response. If Sistani sides with the US he could lose much of his support and spark a civil war and if he sides with Sadr he will lose much of his power over US backed Shi'ites in the governing Council. He will almost certainly try to ride the fence, but his unwillingness to take tough stands on issues that are impacting the Shi'ite holy cities is already starting to chip away at his popularity.
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