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Ecuador: deepening crisis, floods trigger surge of inflation

by wsws (reposted)
Friday, March 28, 2008 :In Ecuador, it is clear that inflation for the first quarter of this year is going to surpass the rate projected by the government for all of 2008, according to statistics from the country’s Central Bank. The principal causes of the inflationary surge are the financial crisis gripping Wall Street and climactic events, which have both served to expose the weaknesses of the Ecuadoran economy.
Ecuador’s National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC) put the monthly inflation in January at 4.9 percent and in February at 5.10 percent. The government estimates for the two months had been 2.68 percent and 2.03 percent, respectively. In comparison with February 2007, which closed at 2.03 percent, the inflation rate has risen by more than 100 percent.

According to Maurício Ramírez, professor at the School of Economy and Business Sciences of the University of Espirito Santo, Ecuador is confronting a process of stagflation in which scarcities of basic food items are becoming evident. This has been caused, he said, by the government’s failure to deal with the effects of floods that had wiped out various crops. “It can easily be foreseen that this first quarter will surpass the government’s predictions for annual inflation, basically because of the high cost of food,” said Ramírez.

This inflationary effect, according to most estimates, could take months to stabilize. This is made clear by the soaring prices of basic foodstuffs, such as manioc, whose price has more than doubled, eggs, which went up 50 percent, and rice, which has risen by 14.2 percent

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