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Indybay Feature

Latino action plan could swing 2008 vote

by Rosalio Muñoz via PWW
Friday, October 19, 2007 : LOS ANGELES — The National Latino Congreso held here Oct. 5-9 projected an action plan and program to massively increase Latino voter turnout in 2008 and decisively impact the Nov. 8 presidential and congressional elections. The Congreso, convened by 10 major national Latino organizations with over 2,000 participating leaders and activists from across the nation, set a goal of raising the Latino presidential turnout from 7.6 million in 2004 to over 10 million in 2008.
While the Congreso is a nonpartisan effort working on an independent “Latino empowerment agenda,” such a turnout could lead to even greater losses for Republicans next year. Vast majorities of Latinos see the harsh Republican anti-immigrant policies as anti-Latino and favor immediately beginning withdrawal from Iraq, expanding public health care programs and supporting other measures that President Bush and congressional Republicans have blocked.

While 2.6 million more Latino votes would not alone have changed George Bush’s 3.5-million popular vote margin over Democrat John Kerry in 2004, it would have decisively changed the Electoral College vote. In five states with large and growing Latino constituencies where Bush narrowly defeated Kerry, Latinos favored Kerry. These states are Florida with 27 electoral votes, Arizona with 10, Colorado with 9, and New Mexico and Nevada with 5 each. In the Electoral College, 270 votes are needed to win. Bush won with only 286 in 2004. Democratic victories in any three of the five would have changed the result.

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