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Indybay Feature

Gonzalez or Daly Will Likely Face Newsom in November

by Randy Shaw (reposted)

Supervisor Chris Daly’s call for a June 2 convention to select a challenger to Mayor Newsom has three potential outcomes. The most likely is a mass outpouring for Matt Gonzalez to run for Mayor. If Gonzalez refuses to run (and ignore the Chronicle’s report that he has already made this decision), then the second most likely scenario is that Chris Daly will take up the task. Neither Gonzalez nor Daly has anything to lose by making the race, which is why their candidacies make sense. In the unlikely event neither run, then the convention will have defeated Daly’s purpose by affirming that Newsom runs unopposed in November.

As my colleague Paul Hogarth noted last week, there are many convincing reasons why progressives should not expend resources trying to unseat Mayor Newsom in November. But there appear to be enough progressives who want a mayoral challenger that the June 2 convention is likely to represent the kickoff of the race.

Matt Gonzalez was the favored progressive in 2003, and he remains so today. While reports have stated Gonzalez has rejected running, nobody should believe that Matt would reveal his plans to the San Francisco Chronicle--- the publication whose one-sided pro-Newsom coverage helped decide the 2003 race.

Gonzalez has nothing to lose by running for Mayor. Many of his longtime backers want him to run, and if the convention has a large, enthusiastic “Run-Matt-Run” crowd, he will likely make the race.

If Gonzalez does not run, then Daly would almost certainly give the convention the opportunity to back him for the race.

More
http://www.beyondchron.org/news/index.php?itemid=4536#more
§Migden-Leno Race Creates Opportunity for Progressives
by Paul Hogarth, Beyond Chron (reposted)
When Mark Leno took the unorthodox move of announcing he will challenge Carole Migden in the June 2008 primary, local progressives went nuts. They said it would divide the community, as well as distract energy and resources from other causes. To preempt yet another fratricidal bloodbath, Leno supporter Robert Haaland took the pro-active step last March of distributing a “pledge” among politicos to not engage in hurtful, negative campaigning. But a highly competitive race between two candidates on the East Side in an otherwise uneventful election cycle also creates a favorable dynamic for progressives. If you’re a local activist who wants to pass a ballot measure, there won’t be a better time to do it than in June 2008. Rather than pointing fingers at each other for supporting different candidates, progressives should figure out what propositions they want to get passed in what should be a very favorable election.

More
http://www.beyondchron.org/news/index.php?itemid=4534#more
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