Mexico: Lopez Obrador ahead in recount

But now look at the pattern over the past 4 hours... In which, with 84.84 % of the precincts counted, López Obrador's lead has lessened from 2.42% to 1.79 percent.

My guess?

The IFE and the Fox administration will not proclaim Obrador the winner.

In the final 15 percent of the precincts to be counted, they will miraculously find the votes to put their boy Calderón in the lead. Think I'm cynical? You bet.

In the coming days we'll put this activity on a bar graph. It's precious, in a sick kind of way. The M.O. exactly matches that of Sunday night, in which for the first 70 percent of the tallies Obrador is on a fixed trajectory and then, wham!, he suddenly sinks. And it is happening here again. The only difference is that Obrador was coming up from behind in the preliminary results, while he maintained a solid lead in the precinct total counts. But in the final stretch, those whacky IFE computers - all rights reserved, Hildebrando S.A. de C.V. - are at it again!