top
US
US
Indybay
Indybay
Indybay
Regions
Indybay Regions North Coast Central Valley North Bay East Bay South Bay San Francisco Peninsula Santa Cruz IMC - Independent Media Center for the Monterey Bay Area North Coast Central Valley North Bay East Bay South Bay San Francisco Peninsula Santa Cruz IMC - Independent Media Center for the Monterey Bay Area California United States International Americas Haiti Iraq Palestine Afghanistan
Topics
Newswire
Features
From the Open-Publishing Calendar
From the Open-Publishing Newswire
Indybay Feature

Vote Fraud likely in Senate Races too

by Kyle Jordan
Analysis of the Nation's Senate races yield mores anomalies in favor of the Republicans. Looking at Florida's election results, I noticed the Senate race was very close, with the Democrat Betty Castor losing in a nailbiter 49-48%, only 78,221 votes short.<br><br>

Then I noticed that the total number of votes for Senate was quite a bit less than in the presidential race. 253,105 people voted for president but failed to cast a ballot for senator. Interesting.... so I analyzed all of the Senate races and compared them to each state's Presidential totals- are there more states with a significant number of voters skipping out on the Senate Race? (hereafter referred to as 'missing votes')
senate_missing_votes.gif
The results:

There were two races in the nation, Florida and Kentucky, where the Republican Senator won by a hair, with more than enough missing votes to change the result.

In South Dakota the numbers were different, but the republican still won. The SD senatorial race was the closest in the nation with the Republican winning by only 4,535 votes.  Oddly enough, there were no missing votes, in fact 9,323 more votes were cast for Senator than for President.

In Alaska there were also more votes for Senator than president, not enough to change the result, but perhaps close enough to warrant a recount.  Alaska uses Diebold central tabulators to count the optical scan machine results, and if you've been following the election fraud stories, you know how unreliable the optical scan counties were in Florida.
http://www.rubberbug.com/temp/Florida2004chart.htm

Of course the Republicans are going to argue that 'missing votes' are typical.  Of course a certain percentage of people are going to vote for President and skip voting for Senator.  Why? I'm not sure, but ok- let's look at the numbers.

There were 34 senate races, 29 of which had less votes for Senator than President, 5 had More votes for Senator.  This graph represents percent of voters that didn't vote for Senator, negative numbers indicate the 5 oddball states with more votes for Senator than President.

Idaho was an anomaly with the Dem Senator receiving only 1% of the vote- he must have had a huge scandal or something- so 15% of the people did not even bother to vote for Senator.  NY and CT were Democratic Senator blowouts represented by the top to blips on the graph, clearly outside the standard deviation.

Looking at the other 31 races within the range the percentage of missing votes:
Average: 1.24%
Std. Dev: 1.40%

So the standard deviation, represented by the blue lines ranges from -0.16% --> 2.64% and all 4 of these races, narrowly won by a Republican, fall outside the standard deviation.  Actually they are 2 out of the most extreme three at each end of the spectrum.

To summarize: In election 2004, every time there was a tight race for a Senate seat, the Republican won. And in each of those races there is a significant difference in the number of votes cast for Senator and for President.

Just another coincidence? Let's list all of the coincidences, just for fun:


Florida optical scan counties show 2/3 of the county registered as democrats, but the vote was reversed with Bush getting 2/3 of the vote- ONLY in Florida op-scan counties. Other counties voted pretty much as they were registered. See the chart (linked above) first.
http://ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm


Exit Polls correct in non-swing states, but way off in swing states.
http://bellaciao.org/en/article.php3?id_article=4175


Dozens of reported voting irregularities like:
- Machines counting backwards in Florida
- 4000 votes for 600 voters in one Ohio County- both stories here- see pic at bottom
- New computer voting machines losing votes because they 'can only handle' 3000 votes
- Of course the ubiquitous 'touch kerry but the machine chooses bush' error
http://bellaciao.org/en/article.php3?id_article=4194

Of course, all of the computer glitches and malfunctions and lost votes _always_ favor the ruling party. Colorado's numbers sure look fishy
http://portland.indymedia.org/en/2004/11/302852.shtml


We can't exclude the voter suppression stories. Republicans proudly acknowledge they were manning polling booths across the country to intimidate voters, create long lines and encourage people to turn give up and leave. 
http://www.dissidentvoice.org/Nov2004/Fitrakis1108.htm


And now we can add to the list- all close senate races were won by republicans with very questionable results.

Toss in the incredible coincidence of 2 consecutive elections where a Democratic senator (Carnahan and Wellstone) dies in a plane crash one month before the election... and one has to wonder, is it really possible that these are all coincidences?

And for the cherry on top we can all remember Bush 'won' Florida in 2000 by 536 votes... yet there was the infamous Palm Beach County Butterfly ballot that gave Pat Buchanan 3000 votes that clearly were meant for Gore, and I suggest you'd have to be willfully ignorant and blind if you can't see that we now have exactly what our Forefathers freed us from, a King named George.


Data Sources:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/senate/full.list/

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/FL/P/00/

§Close Senate races occur at both extremes
by Kyle Jordan
senate_missing_votes-var.gif
§Bush 'won' florida in 2000 by 536 votes
by Kyle Jordan
buchanan-pb_butterfly.gif
§Data in excel format if you'd like to analyze it yourself
by Kyle Jordan
Copy the code below to embed this movie into a web page:
Note: This is not a realmedia file. Indybay wouldn't let me upload it as xls- so i changed the extension to .rm, just change it back to .xls and it will open in your spreadsheet.

hope this is ok imc techs :)
Add Your Comments
We are 100% volunteer and depend on your participation to sustain our efforts!

Donate

$255.00 donated
in the past month

Get Involved

If you'd like to help with maintaining or developing the website, contact us.

Publish

Publish your stories and upcoming events on Indybay.

IMC Network