Polls Show Rise in Favor of Palestinians

September-October 2002, page 11

Special Report

U.S. Opinion Polls Show Growing Support for Palestinians

By Richard H. Curtiss and Delinda C. Hanley

There is good news for Palestinians from recent opinion polls. Most polls from the United States, Europe, and even Israel, show growing support for a Palestinian
state. U.S. numbers increasingly resemble European polls as Americans become more conscious of what the Israelis have done in the occupied territories.

Let’s start with a CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll conducted June 7 and 8. For the first time since last October, a plurality of Americans, 43 percent, said the United States supports Israel too much,
while 40 percent said Israel gets the right amount of support. The poll showed only 10 percent felt the U.S. supports Israel too little, with the remaining percentage unsure. The Gallup poll was
conducted in telephone interviews with 800 adults, with a margin of error of 3 percent.

Gallup characterized the figures in its latest poll as “a significant decline in a pro-Israeli point of view.” It compared the new figures with a similar poll conducted in October 2001. Eight months
earlier only 29 percent of Americans thought the U.S. supported Israel too much, while 58 percent said Israel received the right amount of support, and 9 percent felt Israel received too little
support.

The same week that the Gallup poll results were released, an Anti-Defamation League (ADL) survey appeared. This annual poll showed an increase in American anti-Semitism in the wake of the
Sept. 11 terror attacks.

The ADL poll found that 51 percent of respondents believed that the Bush administration had tilted too far in favor of Israel. Nearly 42 percent of Americans, characterized as the anti-Semitic
sample, also said they believed that American Jewish leaders have too much influence over U.S. foreign policy. Only 11 percent of Americans who were described as holding no anti-Semitic
feelings felt Jewish leaders had too much power.

A CBS News Poll conducted May 13 and 14, 2002, a month earlier than the ADL survey mentioned above, asked respondents a similar question: “In dealing with the Middle East situation, do you
think the Bush administration has been too supportive of Israel in its conflict with the Palestinians, has been too supportive of the Palestinians, or has treated both sides about right?”

This poll found 23 percent of Americans thought Bush was too supportive of Israel, only 7 percent thought Bush was too supportive of Palestinians, 48 percent thought Bush treated both about
right, and 22 percent didn’t know.

ABC and CBS News polls showed increasing support for Palestinians. A June 21-23 ABC News poll asked the following question: “Thinking about the Mideast: Do you think there should or should
not be an independent Palestinian nation in the West Bank and Gaza Strip?” At least 45 percent agreed there should be a Palestinian state, 20 percent said there should not, and 35 percent
didn’t know.

Compared to a similar survey in 1991, the numbers had noticeably improved.

A CBS poll asked 685 adults nationwide the same question on July 8 and 9, 2002, with a similar result. Some 40 percent favored a Palestinian homeland, 31 percent
opposed it, and 29 percent didn’t know. When compared to a similar survey conducted in October 1991, the numbers had noticeably improved. In 1991 only 33
percent favored a Palestinian state, 46 percent opposed it, and 21 percent didn’t know.

Another CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll on June 21-23, 2002 asked,“Do you favor or oppose the establishment of an independent Palestinian state on the West Bank if the Palestinian government
demonstrates that it can end the suicide bombings in Israel?” A whopping 74 percent of Americans said they favored a Palestinian state.

The July 8 and 9 CBS News Poll mentioned earlier also measured American support for the Palestinian leader. The poll asked: “The Palestinians are scheduled to hold an election in 2003. If
Yasser Arafat is re-elected, should the U.S. still refuse to meet with him, or should the U.S. meet with him?”

Some 53 percent said the U.S. should meet with him, while only 32 percent of Americans said the U.S. still should refuse to meet with him. Another 13 percent didn’t know and 2 percent thought
the U.S. should meet with Arafat now.

In contrast to American public opinion polls, British respondents are considerably more sympathetic to Palestinians. In April 2002, Britain’s Guardian newspaper found that twice as many British
voters favored Palestinians as compared to Israelis in the Arab-Israeli conflict.

This Guardian/ICM opinion poll also noted that only a minority of British voters have a firm view on the issue, with 28 percent backing the Palestinians and 14 percent supporting Israel. For while
those who have a committed view of the Middle East conflict tilt toward the Palestinian cause, the ICM survey also showed that the overwhelming majority of British voters take a more neutral
approach.

The British findings mark a sea change in British attitudes toward the Middle East over the past 20 years, according to the April 24 Guardian report. They are in line with recent polls in France,
Germany and Italy which show that European public opinion is generally more sympathetic to the Palestinians.

A majority of British voters, 52 percent, also agreed that the U.S. could do more to bring about a peace settlement. Only 35 percent said they believed the Americans were doing as much as they
could.

The Guardian/ICM survey interviewed a random sample of 1,000 Britons aged over 18 by telephone on April 20 and 21, 2002.

European support for Palestinians has steadily increased over the years, especially as the expected Palestinian state has failed to materialize.

Some Israeli polls results are closer to European public opinion than they are to American. The majority of Israelis support the creation of a Palestinian state, according to a Nov. 23, 2001 Gallup
poll. The poll findings in Israel’s Ma’ariv newspaper showed that 59 percent of Israelis support the creation of a Palestinian state, with just 36 percent opposed.

Some 73 percent of the 544 Israeli adults questioned said they believed that a Palestinian state would emerge, regardless of their views.

In a July 6 opinion piece entitled “A Maddened Cow,” Israeli peace activist/journalist Uri Avnery wrote, only half-facetiously, “Israel is the only state in the world that has a population of 200
percent. And that’s a fact.”

Two Israeli Majorities

As he described it, public opinion polls in Israel show that it has two simultaneous majorities—one peace-loving, the other supporting extreme nationalism. Avnery
cleverly explains how 100 percent of Israelis back peace initiatives and the other 100 percent back Sharon’s extremely hard-line policies.

In all seriousness, Israeli public opinion is difficult to measure, as voters are extremely volatile. Israelis veer from vengeful fury to philosophical pragmatism with every suicide bombing or peace rally.

Most pollsters, even in the United States, finally are noting an increase in support for Palestinians. There is, of course, a temporary dip in the rising polls whenever a major suicide bombing occurs.
Americans, like their Israeli counterparts, briefly blame Palestinian leadership for every violent setback.

The good news is that while American public support for Palestinians is still not as pronounced as the European, it is growing as more Americans become aware of the Palestinians’ plight. The
bad news is that President George W. Bush’s Middle East advisers don’t seem to be paying any attention to the changes in American public opinion.

Richard H. Curtiss is executive editor and Delinda C. Hanley news editor of the Washington Report on Middle East Affairs.