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U.S. | Government & Elections

Obama leading Romney in electoral votes, polling shows
by Jimmy Nelson
Saturday Jun 23rd, 2012 2:25 AM
If the U.S. presidential election were held today, President Obama could count on 221 electoral votes, while presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney could count on 170. With 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency and 538 up for grabs, 147 electoral votes currently fall into the tossup category.
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93270226--electoral.jpg

If the U.S. presidential election were held today, President Obama could count on 221 electoral votes, while presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney could count on 170. With 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency and 538 up for grabs, 147 electoral votes currently fall into the tossup category.

This data comes from the excellent website Real Clear Politics, which keeps a running record of recent state polling by several reputable firms and how their findings translate into the projection of electoral votes.

With the president only 49 votes short of the number he needs to win re-election, it’s worth noting that in 2008, he won all but 10 of the 12 states currently classified as tossups. He lost Arizona to native son Sen. John McCain, and his loss in Missouri was by 3,903 popular votes out of nearly three million ballots cast, making the Show-Me State outcome his narrowest loss. The June 22, 2012, RCP composite polling data for Arizona and Missouri show Romney leading Obama in both states, by 4.7 points and 3 points respectively. But Obama holds leads, albeit narrow ones, in all of the remaining 10 states except North Carolina.

Depending on your point of view and political leaning, this could be good or bad news.

It’s good news for the Republicans in that it shows Obama’s vulnerability in 10 of the 28 states* he carried for 365 electoral votes in 2008. With the 2010 Census numbers now in place and congressional districts redrawn, those 10 states have a total of 126 electoral votes in play. Because polling indicates a close race in these states, Republicans can make the case that voters are having a case of collective buyers’ remorse.

But it’s good news for the Democrats in that four of these 10 states – Colorado, Nevada, North Carolina and Virginia – voted Republican in both close elections of 2000 and 2004. The fact that they are competitive, Democrats can say, indicates that the voters Obama brought to the Democratic side are still in his corner.

So if we take the numbers just as they are today and make the none-too-scientifically sound assumption that they will hold through Election Day, the final electoral vote tally will look like this: Obama 332, Romney 206. It’s a long time until Nov. 6, but for now, the incumbent is in the driver’s seat.

*Obama picked up one electoral vote by winning a congressional district in Nebraska.

by Vote Red or Green
Saturday Jun 23rd, 2012 5:35 AM
What is this garbage doing here? Who cares if the fascist Obama gets votes or the fascist Romney gets votes? What are you people getting from this millionaire war criminal currently sitting in the White House that you do not think you will get from the other millionaire war criminal claiming to running against him? How much war and fascism do you require to get the message? What is it that you like about targeted assassinations, drone killings, promoting arrests of anyone anywhere with indefinite imprisonment with no charges, torture that exists in every American prison here and around the world, framing attorney Lynne Stewart, continued false imprisonment of Leonard Peltier and Mumia Abu-Jamal and many more, massive poverty while the rich get richer, supporting bank bailouts, promoting private profit insurance companies instead of socialized medicine which the president and Congress receive in the form of free medical care courtesy our tax dollars, refusing to promote a moratorium on evictions and foreclosures, privatization of the schools with the "Race to the Top" garbage, endless promotion of blood for oil wars to make the rich richer, supporting the death penalty, supporting the racist, anti-woman, fascist US military base called Israel and much more? WHAT IS IT THAT YOU NEED? WHY DO YOU ENGAGE IN ROBOT VOTING?

The Democrats only exist to make sure you never vote Red or Green, so they sometimes mouth a few decent phrases at election time to get your vote, but once in office, carry out the same capitalist agenda as the Republicans, as they are paid to do just that by the same capitalist class. NO MILLIONAIRE CAN REPRESENT US WORKERS, the 80% of us who sell our labor for less than $77,000 a year.

Fortunately, MOST OF THE WORKINGCLASS NEVER VOTES AT ALL IN THE US because most are fed up with the twin parties of war and fascism, the Democrat-Republicans, and because most are too illiterate to read the ballot or the voter handbook. After all, the workingclass high schools have a 50% dropout rate, so the level of education in this backward country is very low. So, of the 200 million adults in this country, some 100 million bother to vote. Most voters are white property owners who make over $100,000 a year. The least you can do if you vote is send a message as to what your conscience is.

Vote Red (socialist) Peace & Freedom Party or Green Party and if their candidates are not running for a given position, run for office yourself or skip that position. Only when you refuse to pay any attention to the Democrat-Republicans and vote your conscience in every election, and vote in every election, will the ruling capitalist class be concerned. Here are the 2 parties worth considering:
http://www.peaceandfreedom.org/home/
http://www.cagreens.org/
http://www.gp.org/index.php