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Indybay Feature

No on Proposition 1A

by Tom Condit
The Governor, the State Chamber of Commerce, and their flunkies in the Legislature and the press are telling us that passing Proposition 1A on May 19 will end California's budget problems, and defeating it will put us billions of dollars in the hole. What it will really do is force constant cuts in vital services like health care, lock up the umbrellas on "rainy days," cause new budget crises in the future, and give the Governor dictatorial powers.
The Governor, the State Chamber of Commerce, and their flunkies in the Legislature and the press are telling us that passing Proposition 1A on May 19 will end California's budget problems, and defeating it will put us billions of dollars in the hole.

What it will really do is force constant cuts in vital services like health care, lock up the umbrellas on "rainy days," cause new budget crises in the future, and give the Governor dictatorial powers.

What does 1A do?

California already has a "Budget Stabilization Account" (BSA). Each year, 3% of state revenues go into this account until it has a balance equal to 5% of the state budget. This is a "rainy day" fund. It puts money aside to use in years when there isn't as much income.

Proposition 1A changes the name of the BSA to "Budget Stabilization Fund" and makes it have to equal 12.5% of the budget (one out of every eight dollars) before any money can come out except to pay back money "borrowed" from the schools in previous years. It also requires that any "unanticipated revenues" (money that wasn't expected) go into this B.S. Fund. It sets up a very complicated formula for deciding what revenues are "unanticipated."

Even in years when the state is running a deficit, money has to go into the B.S. Fund. It stays there until the fund is up to 12.5% of the budget. If Prop 1A were already in the State Constitution, the legislature would have had to put $3.1 billion into the B.S. Fund this year while they were scrambling for money. It may be raining, but we cant use the umbrellas we have—we must keep buying new umbrellas and locking them up in the closet.

Half the money in the B.S. Fund goes from there into a Supplemental Education Payment Account (SEPA) to pay back the $9.3 billion stolen from schools and community colleges in earlier budget deals. (This will only happen if voters pass both Prop 1A and Prop 1B.) Once, the SEPA account is paid up and the B.S. Fund is up to 1/8 of the General Fund, then money goes to a Supplemental B.S. Account (SBSA).

Money in the Supplemental B.S. Account can be used to pay off debts the state owes to local governments and the Transportation Fund for money "borrowed" in earlier budget deals, and to pay the states bond debt to bankers and wealthy investors.

The Shell Game

After money moves in, out and around the B.S. Fund, the SEPA account and the Supplemental B.S. Account, any of it which can still be seen can used in three ways: for one-time infrastructure or "capital outlay" spending (like building schools and bridges, but not maintaining or repairing them), to cover unfunded retiree benefits, or to be returned to taxpayers on a one-time basis. It cant be used for maintenance, repair of schools or bridges, or "baseline" spending like health care, firefighting, parks or the court system.

Under the State Constitution, parts of the General Fund like the gasoline tax are automatically moved to other funds like the Transportation Fund, but not before they're counted in the General Fund. This means that the 3% transfer to the B.S. fund (calculated before money is moved) could be nearly 5% of the actually available money.

If youre not confused yet, just wait.

"Unanticipated Revenue"

Each year the states Director of Finance (a political appointee of the Governor) forecasts that years revenue. "Unanticipated revenue" is defined as either the amount by which this forecast revenue is above an adjusted trend line based on the previous ten years' revenue or the amount the forecast revenue exceeds expenditures for the previous year (adjusted for population and inflation), whichever is less. This "unanticipated revenue" couldn't be used for new programs or for expansion of existing programs.

This forecast is based on a complicated mathematical method called "linear regression." We explain in a separate article (see "Prop 1A means health care cuts") why the ways of defining population and inflation will automatically lead to cuts in areas like health care. Lets look at the forecast itself.

First, the "forecast" is just that. Its the Director of Finances best guess, made in May, of how much money will come in during the fiscal year starting July 1. The 3% put in the B.S. Fund is 3% of that guess, not 3% of money that actually comes in, which might be more or might be less. Theres no oversight or appeal, so theres plenty of room for manipulation.

Downward trend guaranteed

Second, the spending limit is based on 10-year averages which include years of recession. This depression year would be used to hold down spending for 10 years even if theres a boom.

Third, the money received from sale of 2004s Proposition 57 bonds cant be counted toward the average money received.

So the method of "forecasting" practically guarantees cuts in services.

Finally, Prop 1A would let the Governors appointed Director of Finance cut spending and suspend cost-of-living adjustments whenever he guesses that a budget shortfall may be coming.

Vote NO on Proposition 1A.
§Propositions 1D and 1E: Disguised Takeaways
by Kevin Akin
1D -Chopping the money for services for families and kids to balance the general fund budget. 1E - Cuts funding to vital mental health programs, and hurt patients and their families.

1D. California Children and Families Act.

This legislative proposal would take money from programs set up by an earlier initiative, chopping the money for services for families and kids to balance the general fund budget. These services should not be cut, but increased, but despite some cleverly confusing language in this proposition, passing it would cut the funding and hurt children and families. Vote NO!

1E. Mental Health Services.

California voters decided with Proposition 63 to dedicate certain taxes on the highest incomes to mental health services. This legislative proposal would take some of that money away, using it to balance the general fund budget. In fact, the inadequate funding for these programs should be increased. The wording of this proposition tries to obscure its real effects, but what it actually would do is cut funding to vital mental health programs, and hurt patients and their families. Vote NO!

§Vote No on Proposition 1B
by Marsha Feinland
Proposition 1B looks like a way to give more money to the schools. We want more money for the schools, but we are not fooled by this trick.

Proposition 1B looks like a way to give more money to the schools. We want more money for the schools, but we are not fooled by this trick.

The voters of California passed Prop 98 in 1988 to provide a guaranteed level of funding for education. This includes kindergarten through twelfth grade schools and the community colleges. In some years, because of budget problems, the state has not provided all the money guaranteed under Prop 98. The amount that the state owes to education is called the "maintenance factor."

There are at least three different ways of calculating this amount under Proposition 98 rules. The teachers unions and other organizations which work to protect and increase school funding have had a running dispute with Governor Schwarzenegger about how large the maintenance factor is and when it must be paid.

Proposition 1B would settle that dispute. It would provide that $9.3 billion be paid back to the schools in installments starting in the fiscal year 2011-2012. But where would that money come from?

Proposition 1A would set up a Supplemental Education Payment account as part of the Budget Stabilization fund. That means that in order for the schools to get the money promised by Proposition 1B, the voters would have to pass Proposition 1A.

It looks like Proposition 1B is a trick to get the California Teachers Association to support Proposition 1A, which it did. That is unfortunate because the CTA also supports the creation of a single payer health system and other programs which would benefit California's children and families—things that the passage of Proposition 1A will work against by limiting how much the state can spend, even when the money is there.

If Proposition 1B fails, the State of California will still owe the schools the money guaranteed by Prop 98. And if Prop 1A fails, we will have a better chance of winning the quality schools, health care, housing and environmental protection that we need.

Vote NO on 1B.

§Why we oppose Proposition 1C
by John Reiger
Deceptively called "The Lottery Modernization Act," this act allows the State of California to float a $5 billion loan based on hoped-for future lottery profits.

Deceptively called "The Lottery Modernization Act," this act allows the State of California to float a $5 billion loan based on hoped-for future lottery profits. Even if there are increased lottery profits in the future (a very uncertain assumption), we will pay interest on the loan. All of this will make it harder to balance future state budgets.

This act gives the lottery director more power, the power to avoid competitive bidding contracts, and lowest-bid contracts, on any contract up to $500,000. This "modernization" sounds like an invitation for fraud.

Audits of the lottery would be loosened. Yet this act would give the lottery director more power to arbitrarily award contracts.

This bill encourages greater promotion of the lottery. Lotteries are a drain on the budget of working families.

The Peace and Freedom Party proposes to balance Californias budget by closing corporate tax loopholes (many pay no income tax at all) and increasing the true tax rate on the rich (they often pay a smaller percentage of their income than people who work for a living).

Peace and Freedom Party believes that all workers should be paid good, union-level wages and should not have to gamble on the lottery to try to guarantee a decent life or a secure retirement.

§Vote No on Proposition 1F
by C.T. Weber
So, you want to punish the legislature. Well Proposition 1F will not do it.

So, you want to punish the legislature. Well Proposition 1F will not do it. You may get some kind of good feeling because you put them in their place along with some other office holders who have nothing to do with the budget. Ask yourself why members of both houses of the State Legislature voted 119-0 in favor of this distraction. Does it permanently abolish or even lower their salaries? No! Does it hold down increases in per diem allowances in any way? No!

What does it do? On or before June 1, the state Director of Finance would be required to notify the California Citizens Compensation Commission (which was established in 1990 to set salaries of 132 elected state officials) if the Director expects the Special Fund for Economic Uncertainties, also known as the rainy day fund, to have a negative balance of at least 1% of the state General Fund on June 30. Now that's a mouthful. It boils down to a minor state savings at best when and if the Director notifies the Commission that the state is expected to end the year with a budget deficit.

The problems with the budget run much deeper. California is one of only three states that requires a 2/3 vote to pass the budget. That means that 1/3 of either house of the State Legislature can bring the state to its knees, and the threat of not receiving a possible 3% pay raise will not deter these true believer from their core ideology to dismantle the state along with the public services it provides.

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