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East Bay | Health, Housing, and Public ServicesProp 98 Continues To Lose In The Polls
The Polls Again Are Showing That The Voters Are Rejecting Prop 98 and Supporting Prop 99! ATTN: Prop 98 Is Losing Even Further In The Latest Polls According to the Public Policy Institute (PPIC); When they are read the ballot measure (Prop 98), 30 percent of likely voters say they would vote yes, 48 percent would vote no, and 22 percent are not sure. Despite the landlords sleazy commercials, the public is not buying the B.S.! Thanks to all who have been active in getting the word out to defeat Prop 98. Our efforts are paying off, and if we continue with our efforts we just may end up defeating Prop 98 and the greedy landlords supporting it! Thanks again to all, keep up the good work and we WILL defeat Prop 98 if we try hard enough! Lynda Carson See details below... >>>>>>>>>> Released just hours ago from the Public Policy Institute: • June eminent domain measures trailing — Page 20 http://www.ppic.org/main/pressrelease.asp?p=837 Propositions 98 and 99 are aimed at changing the government’s power to take private property. While seven in 10 likely voters say the government’s power of eminent domain needs major changes (39%) or minor ones (32%), support for these two propositions is falling short of approval. Proposition 98, which would bar state and local governments from seizing private property to give it to another private party, would also ban rent control. When they are read the ballot measure, 30 percent of likely voters say they would vote yes, 48 percent would vote no, and 22 percent are not sure. This is a drop in support for the measure since March (37% yes, 41% no, 22% unsure). When asked their views about rent control, 54 percent of likely voters say it is a good thing and 38 percent say it is a bad thing. Attitudes toward rent control are favorable among both homeowners (51%) and renters (63%). A majority of Democrats (66%) and half of independents (51%) favor rent control, while a majority of Republicans (53%) say it is a bad thing. Proposition 99, which would block the government from taking a single family home or condominium to transfer to another private party, would allow eminent domain for public uses and would not ban rent control. Among likely voters, 44 percent say they would vote yes, 36 percent say no, and 20 percent are unsure. *********** California Prop 98 Heading for Rejection by Voters—Rival Prop 99 Has Narrow 8 Point Lead By Frank D. Russo http://www.californiaprogressreport.com/2008/05/california_prop_3.html Consistent with all that has been the scuttlebutt amongst the private polls, the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) has just released a poll that shows that Prop 89—the eminent domain constitutional amendment being bankrolled by landlords—is already behind with only 30% of likely voters supporting it and 48% opposed. As is true with just about all ballot measures, once they fall behind, the skids are greased and the final results do not reverse when the votes are counted. This is especially true with the substantial numbers of Californians casting vote by mail ballots—and a large number of these votes may already be in the bank. A full 22% are undecided, and if history is any guide, most of these votes will gravitate to the “no” side as it is easier to cast doubts on a ballot measure than to pass one with an electorate who is not fully onboard early on. Prop 98 goes down hard with Democrats who are likely to vote by 58% to 20%. It also is rejected by Independents 48% to 32%. It has a narrow plurality with Republicans 41% to 36% with 20% of Republicans likely to vote undecided. I trails in all regions of the state and loses by a wide margin in the votes of those who are homeowners and renters alike. There are many questions about Prop 98, but clearly one of the reasons for its unpopularity is its prohibition of rent control and similar measures. The PPIC results to this question speak volumes on this part of Prop 98: “Do you think rent control—that is, the ability of local governments to set limits on how much rents can be increased each year—is a good thing or a bad thing?” By 54% to 38% likely California voters think rent control is a good thing. This includes an overwhelming majority of Democrats (66% to 26%) and Independents (51% to 42%). Republicans do not think rent control is a good idea by 53% to 39%. Even a majority of homeowners (51% to 41%) think rent control is a good idea. Renters by a 63% to 29% think so as well. Proposition 99 Prop 99--a rival eminent domain measure that does not have these rent control prohibitions-- is ahead in this poll by 44% to 36% with likely voters and 20% with no opinion. It leads with Democrats and Independents by wide margins and even amongst Republican likely voters 42% to 37%. It leads comfortably in all regions of the state except the Central Valley where it is ahead 41% to 39%--just within the margin of error of the poll. It is winning with homeowners and renters. Without a clear majority of voters in favor of Prop 99, its fate is uncertain. It may be decided by those who vote on Election Day and could lose if those ballots break negatively. Voters Want Changes in Eminent Domain Laws in California 71% of likely voters want changes in California’s eminent domain laws while 17% say the laws are fine the way they are written. Another 12% doesn’t know. The leader here is 39% who want “major” changes. Another 32% want “minor changes.” The results are pretty consistent with Democrats, Republicans, and Independents as well as homeowners and renters. About This Poll The Public Policy Institute of California is a non-partisan, non profit organization that surveyed 2003 California adults in which they identified 1086 likely voters. This is a large sample and the margin of error for likely voters is 3%. It was conducted May 12 to May 18. Posted on May 22, 2008 *********** PPIC poll shows big property rights concern but indecision on Props 98, 99 By Steve Geissinger Sacramento bureau Article Launched: 05/21/2008 10:00:32 PM PDT http://www.contracostatimes.com/politics/ci_9340883 SACRAMENTO — Most Californians are concerned about government's power to take away private property, but many likely voters remain wary of a clash over two property-rights initiatives on the June 3 ballot, according to a poll released today. The Public Policy Institute of California survey shows that 7 in 10 voters think the government's power of eminent domain needs some kind of reform after a U.S. Supreme Court ruling narrowed property rights in 2005. But PPIC poll director Mark Baldassare said the survey indicates that support for the two California ballot proposals is falling short of approval. Melissa Michelson, a political science professor at Cal State East Bay, said that "when faced with confusing propositions, or when in doubt about what the effect of a proposition will be, the public votes no." Voters are particularly uncertain of Proposition 98, a broad property-rights measure that also would end rent controls across the state. At the same time, Baldassare said, the institute found that a majority of voters — 54 percent — back caps on rents. Prop. 98 is opposed by 48 percent of voters and supported by 30 percent, with more than a fifth of voters undecided. While support for the proposition has eroded since March, the number of undecided voters has remained the same. The measure has pitted landlords against tenants in a multimillion-dollar campaign because it also would also phase out rent controls on apartments and mobile home park spaces in the costly Bay Area and Los Angeles regions. In the Bay Area, Prop. 98 would affect apartments in the cities of San Jose, Oakland, Berkeley, Hayward and San Francisco, as well as mobile home park spaces in Concord. The survey found that many voters remain wary of the other eminent domain initiative on the ballot as well. Prop. 99, sponsored by the League of California Homeowners, is a more narrow property-rights initiative that would bar state and local agencies from taking single-family homes. It is supported by 44 percent of voters and opposed by 36 percent, with 20 percent undecided. "That so many likely voters are still undecided with only two weeks to go before Election Day is a reflection of the confusion which these ballot measures have generated," Michelson said. "That's often a recipe for success for opponents of propositions." In other findings, the poll indicated: n Most Californians dislike Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's latest budget proposal to borrow from the state lottery, but they are willing to accept a temporary increase in the sales tax if the pitch to lawmakers and voters fails. The governor's overall approval rating (41 percent) has suffered a double-digit decline, sliding 16 points since December and 12 points from a year ago. If the general election was held now, California voters would favor Sen. Barack Obama over Sen. John McCain by 17 points. The telephone poll of 1,086 likely voters was conducted May 12-18. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Reach Steve Geissinger at 916-447-9302 or sgeissinger [at] bayareanewsgroup.com. |
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