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Anti-WarWILL THE WORLD'S SECOND SUPERPOWER RISE UP TO STOP THE AMERICAN AXIS OF EMPIRE?
The second Superpower--the global antiwar movement--must rise, or we are all doomed. The New Global Peace Movement vs. the Bush Juggernaut
By Jeremy Brecher | May 28, 2003 Editor: John Gershman, Interhemispheric Resource Center (IRC) Editor's Note: This piece was commissioned under the auspices of the Project Against the Present Danger. The Bush administration is presenting itself to the world as a juggernaut--a "massive, inexorable force that advances irresistibly, crushing whatever is in its path." Bush's National Security Strategy portrays his "war against terrorism" as "a global enterprise of uncertain duration." It says the U.S. will act against "emerging threats before they are fully formed." The Bush administration envisions the coming decades as a continuation of recent U.S. demands, threats, and wars. It intends to continue the aggressive behavior already illustrated by war on Afghanistan and Iraq, armed intervention in the Philippines and Columbia, and threats against Syria, Iran, and North Korea. The Bush administration and its successors are likely to continue this juggernaut until they are made to stop. As the Bush administration sought global support for its attack on Iraq, the New York Times wrote, "The fracturing of the Western alliance over Iraq and the huge antiwar demonstrations around the world this weekend are reminders that there may still be two superpowers on the planet: the United States and world opinion." But is that "superpower" with which President Bush appeared "eyeball to eyeball" on the eve of the Iraq war really a "tenacious new adversary" or just flash-in-the-pan protest against the inexorable advance of the Bush juggernaut? Here are some strategies that can make the new global peace movement tenacious and effective in the post-Iraq war period: Expanding the focus: The U.S. has been the world's dominant superpower throughout the 20th century and has frequently used its military might against isolated opponents. But its power always depended on a system of alliances with other powers, worldwide respect for its system of government, and division among those who would challenge it. At the core of the Bush administration's new policy is the replacement of such "hegemony" with a world order based on direct U.S. dictation. This shift is enunciated in Bush's National Security Strategy document. In place of self-determination and pluralism, it asserts that there is "a single sustainable model for national success: freedom, democracy, and free enterprise." In place of security through international cooperation, it asserts that the U.S. "will not hesitate to act alone, if necessary, to exercise our right of self-defense by acting preemptively" and by "convincing or compelling states" to accept their "responsibilities" as the U.S. defines them. This shift can be seen in the attacks on Afghanistan and Iraq; the threats against Syria, Iran, North Korea, Cuba, and even Belgium and France; the scornful undermining of the UN; and the contemptuous treatment of longtime U.S. allies. The new global peace movement now has the opportunity to redefine itself as a movement against this policy of dictation and aggression, of which the Iraq war was merely one expression. It can become a movement for international cooperation and for global norms, rules, and institutions that restrict the warmaking of states--including the mightiest of them. In the U.S. that movement can support policies that provide security through international cooperation. While consideration of the future of the new peace movement is still in its early stages, discussion in the U.S. has focused on expansion from Iraq to broader issues of U.S. foreign policy; outreach to domestic social groups affected by the Bush agenda; defense of human rights and civil liberties for dissenters, Arabs, Muslims, immigrants, and other threatened groups; and strengthening the international connectedness of the movement. The movement has continued demonstrations and other mobilizations against manifestations of U.S. aggression and domination. A substantial part of the movement will undoubtedly focus on the upcoming elections: MoveOn has already declared it will mobilize its 1 Â<pi> million anti-war contacts for that purpose. Public education on foreign policy issues is also bound to be important: United for Peace and Justice and a coalition of religious groups have already launched teach-ins and educational forums on issues of war and peace. Utilizing emerging targets: The Bush administration program is generating an endless stream of outrages that can provide targets for movement action. Just to take a few recent examples, global campaigns might demand the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq or their placement under UN command; defense of France against U.S. threats of economic reprisals; and the elimination of U.S. foreign military bases. A number of positive global initiatives could be supported as well, such as the return of UN inspectors to Iraq and the Syrian proposal for a weapons-of-mass-destruction-free Middle East. Global coordination: Such campaigns require the ability to act quickly and proactively. For many purposes the movement's present decentralized structure is excellent, but it has revealed gaps that need to be filled. Many opportunities for globally coordinated action have occurred just since the end of the Iraq war that have not been utilized because there is no infrastructure through which movements in different countries and sectors can learn of them, focus on them, and decide to act on them in concert. To accomplish its tasks, the movement does not require a centralized decisionmaking authority, but it could benefit from "linking organizations" that help with certain key tasks. These include monitoring and rapidly disseminating information about aggressive U.S. activities--some sort of "USA Watch"; coordinating rapid global responses to both outrages and opportunities; and maintaining a proactive dialogue on strategy and objectives to guide day-to-day activities. Resisting U.S. dictation: In scores of countries around the world, the Iraq war generated a struggle between those willing to be tools of American influence and those resisting it. Important elections in Germany, South Korea, and elsewhere turned on the question of U.S. military aggressiveness. In several cases, notably Turkey and South Korea, street confrontations and political struggles in parliament forced governments to reverse course on support for the war. This struggle has continued in the wake of the war. Most governments are undecided about how much to resist American power and commands. The outcome is in most cases an open question. The global peace movement can make every government an arena of struggle over resistance to U.S. dictation. People can tell their governments they want them to resist U.S. demands, selectively withdraw from cooperation with the U.S., and actively cooperate with other countries to contain U.S. power. Democratization: The Bush administration has systematically opposed resistance to its dictation. But U.S. threats can be used to make the issue of peace an issue of democracy and self-determination. In some cases--as happened in Turkey on the eve of the Iraq war--governments can be made more afraid of their own people than they are of the Americans. If they are not, that in itself provides a strong case for regime change to establish democracy and self-government. Democratic pressures can erode Bush's "coalition of the willing." Nowhere is this more important than in the Middle East. Here, a string of autocratic regimes oppress their own people and deny their human rights with political support, funding, and military assistance from the U.S.; at the same time they cooperate with U.S. policies despite the overwhelming opposition of their own people. In such a setting, the fight for democracy and human rights can go hand in hand with the fight against U.S. domination. A fight for democratization without U.S. domination would be supported by the vast majority of the population of most Middle Eastern countries--including, most likely, Iraq--while at the same time isolating and providing an alternative to those who wish to replace existing authoritarian regimes with new nationalistic and/or theocratic ones. Multiple alliances: The global opposition to the U.S. attack on Iraq included global public opinion, grassroots social movements, the governments of many countries, and the tacit alliance of the major non-U.S. powers. Opposition within the U.S. included at one time or another a majority of the public, millions of individual activists, old and new peace organizations, a coalition of religious, labor, women's, African American, and other peoples organizations, and some members of military, intelligence, political, and business elites. Just as the Bush administration is organizing "coalitions of the willing," so those who want to terminate Bush's program of dictation and aggression need to cooperate in a "coalition of the unwilling," notwithstanding their conflicts of interest and opinion. Nonviolent international sanctions: The Bush juggernaut has many vulnerabilities. It lacks the military manpower, logistical capacity, and colonial administrators to match its ambitions for global rule. It lacks the legitimacy for such a program either at home or in the rest of the world. It must borrow more than $550 billion a year from abroad to pay for imports--giving those from whom it borrows substantial leverage on its policies. The rest of the world needs to present the U.S. with a consistent, unified, and principled opposition to the Bush policy of dictation and aggression. This opposition needs to be expressed in nonviolent sanctions that show U.S. elites and people that a policy of global domination comes with an unacceptable cost to them. Nonviolent sanctions can take economic, diplomatic, legal, and other forms, and can be imposed both by governments and by people acting in civil society. One example already under way: The May 18, 2003 New York Times reports, "The American-led war on Iraq was fiercely opposed by Indonesia. Vice President Hamzah Haz, an Islamic leader, has encouraged local investors to switch from dollars to euros. A similar switch has occurred in Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern countries." Along with such sanctions, the American people should be offered an alternative program of international cooperation to provide security and solve global problems. And people and governments in the rest of the world should launch media and people-to-people campaigns to reach out to Americans with that offer. As Phyllis Bennis recently pointed out, "We are engaged now in building a global movement for peace and justice." That movement for social transformation will benefit immensely from a successful campaign against the Bush juggernaut. Success in that campaign is unlikely just to restore the status quo ante. Bush administration policies will have undermined the traditional bases of U.S. hegemony while unifying a broad global movement for peace, justice, and democracy. That will open a wide range of new possibilities in which the global movement for peace and justice will have an opportunity to seize the initiative. Jeremy Brecher is a historian and the author of twelve books including Strike! and Globalization from Below. This commentary draws from a forthcoming discussion paper from Foreign Policy in Focus (online at http://www.fpif.org). http://www.fpif.org/commentary/2003/0305movement.html
Add Your Comments
Comments (Hide Comments)"the lone superpower"
Monday Jun 2nd, 2003 4:34 PM
Actually, despite the virtually ceaseless repetition of phrases similar to "the last remaining superpower" et cetera in reference to the US, there is another global superpower. China. China has the world's largest population, a gargantuan economy, a massive amount of land, and (here's the critical part) a military complex to rival that of the US. For more on this see the piece (by Howard Bloom, I think) in "Everything You Know Is Wrong" (Disinformation Books). Also, the members of the European Union seem to be slowly and quietly consolidating their national governments to create a US-like mega-state. See the article "The EU Unmasked" in the same book. And I'm not claiming these countries as any sort of beneficent counterbalances to American power, by the way.
Superpower
Monday Jun 2nd, 2003 7:28 PM
yeap china is the other super power. (or possibly the EU) calling the anti war movement a super power is like calling white people a "super power" they are not anything like a "state" its nonsense.
anyway anti war movements only exist care of the good will of the US and EU etc.. if oyu remove them then the anti war movement will be eaten by the other governments that it will have uncovered. what governments are you reffering 2 scot
Monday Jun 2nd, 2003 7:40 PM
were u reffering to israel, scottie?
scot
Monday Jun 2nd, 2003 7:43 PM
is there a clamdown on dissent within Israel just like the rest of the globe>
whatt a bunch of nonsensical tripe
Monday Jun 2nd, 2003 7:55 PM
what a bunch of nonsensical tripe.
this is nothing but demented babble, indymedia needs to read the articles "before" it posts this mess Well
Tuesday Jun 3rd, 2003 4:56 PM
were u reffering to israel, scottie?
- well in the sense that the main reason they dont kick the ass of the arab countries that sponsor terrorists next to them is the the likely bad PR the would get here.. then yes. They aren't the only country that would take advantage of your short sightedness though. Another way to look at this
Wednesday Jun 4th, 2003 8:33 AM
You have to really want it
May 31 2003 For years I believed that when it came to Middle East peacemaking, the United States couldn't want peace more than the parties themselves. I no longer believe that. In fact, I believe just the opposite. For there to be any progress, the US must want peace more than the parties themselves do - in Israel and the West Bank, and in Iraq. And the question is whether that will be the case with President Bush. Bush deserves a tip of the hat for having his principles right. His conviction that getting rid of Saddam Hussein was necessary to build a different Iraq and a different Middle East - which are both critical for drying up terrorism - was right. And his convictions that the Palestinians had to move beyond Yasser Arafat to a responsible leadership and that the Israelis had to come to terms with the inevitability of a Palestinian state and an end to settlements, if there was to be any progress toward peace, are also right. But the question I always have about members of the Bush team is, how good are they at translating principles into practice? When it comes to breaking things they are very, very good - whether it is the ABM treaty, the Kyoto accord, Afghanistan, Iraq or the old way of Arab-Israeli peacemaking. The Bush people believe in power and are not afraid to wield the wrecking ball. But how good are they with a hammer and a nail? How good are they at the detail work of building real alternatives - to Kyoto, Saddam or the Arab-Israel peace process? This is still the most important unanswered question about this administration. Can it reap the harvest of the principles it has sown? Don't get me wrong - ultimately it is up to Israelis, Palestinians and Iraqis to liberate themselves. They have to want it. But at this stage, the US has to use its power to help create the context for them to do it. And that is hard. It means taking hits politically and militarily, which is why if it is to do it right it really has to want it bad. "In both Iraq and the Arab-Israeli conflict," says the Middle East expert Stephen Cohen, "there is such a struggle of wills within the competing parties, and between the competing parties, and the forces for and against change are so evenly balanced, that only a third party - with a clear vision - can swing things towards compromise. That is America's role. The parties themselves are always going to be focused on the immediate costs of doing something because the positive outcomes seem remote or even unlikely to them. Which is why they'll need our push." It's still not clear how much the Bush team wants to do nation-building in Iraq. The Rumsfeld doctrine of small-force, high-tech armies may be great for winning wars, but you need the Powell doctrine for winning the peace: a massive, overwhelming investment of soldiers, police and aid. The US should be flooding Iraq with people and money right now. Also, in destroying the Iraqi army and Baath Party, the US has destroyed the (warped) pillars of Iraqi secular nationalism. It needs to start replacing them, quickly, with alternative, progressive pillars of Iraqi secular nationalism; otherwise, Shiite religious nationalism will fill the void. It will have to do the same in the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Israel's Prime Minister, Ariel Sharon, has said some remarkable and important things lately, most notably: "You may not like the word but what's happening is occupation. Holding 3.5 million Palestinians is a bad thing for Israel, for the Palestinians and for the Israeli economy." The newly elected Palestinian Prime Minister, Mahmoud Abbas, recently gave a talk detailing what a disaster the last two years of Palestinian uprising had been - an uprising encouraged by Arafat. But translating these changes in Israeli-Palestinian principles into real changes in quality of life, for both communities, will be a full-time job for the Bush team. Because for both Israelis and Palestinians, forging a two-state solution will require some level of civil war within each community - between moderates and extremists. And the US should want that more than they do, because if we've learned anything since September 11, it's that the spreading flames of Middle East conflicts have, in a world without walls, begun affecting its quality of life. Their madness has become the US's metal detectors - and it's had enough of it. This story was found at: http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/05/30/1054177725121.html China vs. USA
( jinx_up [at] yahoo.com )
Saturday Mar 26th, 2005 10:48 AM
I believe that the US will remain the 'superpower' for a good long time yet. China is not the superpower..it is a 'Great power'! China is not self-sufficent...sure it may have a great military, but the US can feed its own people...(if they wanted to) China is in quite a bit of trouble, particularly in the South where the icecaps in Nepal are melting...soon there will be drought and flooding and people in the south depend on those caps for water. The US however can manage without trade for food security...so its NOT just about a friggin military...food is essential in providing for a 'state'! Secondly, while it is good and cheap for the US to tarde with china, it is not a necessity like it is for Asia. The way that Asia is developing and urbanizng, it wont be able to match the demand-supply varriable for living standards! while china sits there and claims they are self-sufficinet, at least Japan has the balls to admit that food security is ranked a #9 concern for Japan's national security. And so what, China may have tonz of people for its army..but education is "KEY" and some of the best universities are in the US..NOT china. If the US considered trade embargos or even the hault of chinese students in the US, that would prevent china from developing their own country. Agriculturally, US is highly advanced. so what if k-mart and walmart stuff is made in china, its crap anyhow and breaks soon after you buy it! And the US rules the entertainment industry..movies and music!!!!! Right now its just been a bit hard for the US cuz BUSH isnt the brightest of them all, but trust me, soon someone with actual brains will be elected and boost the US back up. ALSO, its in the best interest of china if they dont piss the US off anyhow, cuz if the US falls, the rest of the world will too...and thats the truth!!!!!!!! ~~ USA ALL THE WAY~!!!
China and the US . . .
( restes60 [at] earthlink.net )
Sunday Mar 27th, 2005 9:05 AM
are both empires in their own way, and each will come to great grief if they don't change their ways
the war in Iraq is the beginning of the great struggle of the 21st Century, an effort by people around the world to regain control of their land, their resources and their communities from American domination likewise, China faces similar, but much smaller challenges in Xinjiang, Tibet, Mongolia and Taiwan [China vs. USA by Amy Saturday, Mar. 26, 2005 at 10:48 AM jinx_up [at] yahoo.com I believe that the US will remain the 'superpower' for a good long time yet. China is not the superpower..it is a 'Great power'! China is not self-sufficent...sure it may have a great military, but the US can feed its own people...(if they wanted to) China is in quite a bit of trouble, particularly in the South where the icecaps in Nepal are melting...] |